Obsolescence of War Arguments

· Most wars now result in the restoration of the status quo ante

· Due to nationalism democratization, new territory is difficult to control politically

· International system has delegitimated aggressive war

· Economic well-being is only loosely linked to the control of population and territory; trading is less risky than fighting

· Nuclear weapons make war between the major powers too destructive

· Globalization of military technology makes intervention by major powers anywhere in the world increasingly risky

· Violent conflict increasingly involves sub-national and unconventional forces rather than regular, national forces


WAR IN THE 1980's

Attacker Target Outcome
 Libya Chad status quo
 Israel   PLO/Lebanon PLO removed; status quo after Israel withdraws in 2001
 Syria  Lebanon Syria achieves control after civil war; withdraws troops ca 2000
 Argentina  Great Britain (Falkland/Malvinas)  status quo
 USSR Afghanistan  status quo
 Iran Iraq  status quo
 Ethiopia Eritrea Eritrean independence in 1991
  South Africa  Angola  status quo
 South Africa   Namibia  status quo
 Vietnam Cambodia Cambodian independence withUN mediation
 Morocco Spanish Sahara Morocco annexes territory


Civil Wars in the 1990s (partial list)

Europe: former Yugoslavia

Latin America: Mexico, Haiti, Colombia, Peru

Africa: Algeria, Somalia, Liberia, Sierra Leone, Angola, Rwanda, Zaire/Congo, Sudan

Asia: Afghanistan, Chechnya, Georgia, Tajikistan, Sri Lanka